Currently, limiting global warming to 1.5 degrees Celsius does not seem plausible. This is the main finding of a pivotal study by the Excellence Cluster "Climate, Climate Change, and Society" (CLICCS) published in February 2023 by the Universität Hamburg. The 60 researchers involved in this cluster have devised a framework that examines the social and political drivers of a global transformation towards climate neutrality and estimates how plausible a climate turnaround is based on the dynamics of these drivers. What sets this study apart is its integration of social science and natural science analyses within a unified approach. The study concludes that it appears improbable that the 1.5-degree target of the Paris Climate Agreement will be met.

Prof. Dr. Stefan Aykut, a co-author of the study, holds the Mercator Foundation Chair in Sociology at the Universität Hamburg with a particular focus on the societal dynamics of ecological transformation. Invited by the Norbert Elias Center for Transformation Design & Research and the Department of Energy and Environmental Management at Europa-Universität Flensburg, he will present the findings of the study, explore the implications of the feasibility analysis for the 1.5-degree target, and examine the societal hurdles, levers and opportunities for a socio-ecological transformation. In addition to examining the global scenario, Prof. Dr. Aykut will also delve into Germany's climate transition.

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